Name:_=
___KEY_______________ &=
nbsp; &nbs=
p; Economics
of Development
Spring 2005 =
; &=
nbsp; &nbs=
p; &=
nbsp; &nbs=
p; &=
nbsp; &nbs=
p; Practice
Quiz 1
1=
) Circle
to indicate whether the statement is true or false.
|
Statement
|
Is the stat=
ement
True or False?
|
|
The theory of positive assortiv=
e
matching (as in the O ring theory) implies that market incentives will le=
ad to
training of lower skilled workers before higher skilled workers.
|
True or =
False
|
|
The Lewis model is designed to explain the process by
which an economy changes structurally from a rural agricultural base to
incorporate an urban manufacturing sector.
|
True=
or
False
|
|
The Big-Push model assumes constant returns to scale=
in
the traditional technology and increasing returns to scale in the modern
technology.
|
True=
or
False
|
|
Romer’s endogenous=
growth theory
model is based on the idea of positive spillovers in the economy based on=
the
level of the economy wide capital stock.=
|
True=
or
False
|
|
Price elasticities of de=
mand for
primary commodities tend to be more elastic than those for manufactured c=
ommodities.
|
True or =
False
|
|
On average, developed countries have a lower share o=
f GNP
accounted for by the value of exports than do developing countries.
|
True=
or
False
|
|
An overvalued exchange rate makes the price of expor=
ted goods
higher than they would be if the exchange rate was determined by market
forces.
|
True=
or
False
|
|
A free trade area has free trade among member states,
common external tariffs against non member states, and free movement of l=
abor
and capital among member states.
|
True or =
False
|
2=
) Technological
progress.
=
a. =
Illustrate
on an isoquant the impact of (Hicks) neutral
technological progress.
Draw an isoquant below =
the
original isoquant and label it with the same am=
ount
of output with lower input levels of capital and labor or draw an isoquant with y1=3Dy2 as the label of the isoquant
and noting that k(1)=3Dk(2), l(1)=3Dl(2) but y1<y2. No change in the slope of the isoquant as a result of tech progress.
=
b. Contrast
the treatment given to technological progress in exogenous growth theory wi=
th that
in endogenous growth theory. =
Exogenous growth theory views technological progres=
s as a
fixed parameter, so that technological improvement occurs at a constant rate
over time. Another way of thi=
nking
of it is that exogenous growth theory views progress as a residual, that wh=
ich
is left unexplained after we explain growth as a function of measured
variables. Endogenous growth =
theory
attempts to explain this residual as a function of measurable variables. Technological progress is not expla=
ined
as a factor exogenous to the model, but is explained within (hence endogeno=
us
to) the model.
3=
) Growth
theories.
=
a. =
This
is the graph of the equilibrium in the Solow model. Does an increase in the savings ra=
te
lead to temporary or permanent growth in income per capita? (the y =
axis is
output per worker and the x axis is capital per worker). Illustrate on this graph and expla=
in
your answer.
![](3D"deveconpractice105key_files/image002.gif")
=
![](3D"deveconpractice105key_files/image004.gif")
=
An increase of s to s&#=
8217;
(here from .25 to .3) increases the equilibrium capital stock (from 25 to 36
here) and income from 5 to 6. There
is temporary growth as we move from 5 to 6, but once we reach the new
equilibrium point, growth stops and we are in steady state. Your numbers don’t have to m=
atch
these, but the idea does.
b. You are given the follo=
wing
equation: ![](3D"deveconpractice105key_files/image006.gif")
=
. Identify =
the
model from which this equation is drawn, explain what this equation means, =
and
contrast the implication for an increase in s on growth according to this
equation with that of the Solow model above.
Model is Harrod-Domar.
It means that the growth rate of national income (c=
hange
in Y over Y) is equal to the savings rate s divided by the capital-output r=
atio
k.
This model suggests an increase in s leads to faster
growth in national income that does not approach a stea=
dy
state equilibrium in income level. <=
/span>
(It could be noted that the definition of income is=
not the
same across models as one is income per worker the other is national income=
overall,
and that one model has depreciation and the other does not. However, the basic point that in one
model, increased s leads to temporary growth while in the other it leads to=
permanent
growth remains valid).
4) East produces 5 hats per w=
orker,
and 2 cans of beans per worker.
West produces 4 hats per worker and 1 can of beans per worker.
a) If there are 100 laborer=
s in
East and West respectively, describe the level of
production of each commodity in each country in autarky if they divide up t=
heir
labor force with 50 workers allocated to each commodity.
|
|
Hats
|
Cans of Beans
|
|
East
|
=3D5*50=3D250
|
=3D2*50=3D100
|
|
West
|
=3D4*50=3D200
|
=3D1*50=3D50
|
b=
) Identify
the commodity for which each country has a comparative advantage.
East has a comparative advantage in beans,
west has a comparative advantage in hats.
c=
) Contrast
the idea of an absolute advantage with comparative advantage using this
example.
Laborers in East have an
absolute advantage in both beans and hats:=
West is 80% as effective as East in producing hats, 50% as effective=
in
producing beans / East is 20% more effective than West in production of hat=
s,
100% more effective in production of beans. West is relatively less bad i=
n hat
production than in bean production / East is
relatively much better in bean production than in hat production. Thus the comparative advantage for=
west
is in hats and the comparative advantage for east is in beans.
5) Sen identifies four themes in the first gene=
ration
of development economics.
=
a. =
Identify
three out of the four.
1=
) Industrialization
(move from agrarian to industrial)
2=
) Mobilization
of underemployed labor (rural to urban)
3=
) Rapid
capital accumulation (savings and investment)
4=
) Planning
and an economically active state (coordination and intervention)=
=
b. Sen interpret the empirical evidence on the developme=
nt
process as it relates to these themes.&nbs=
p;
Does he do this to argue that income growth generated according to t=
hese
four themes is the primary goal of development economics? Explain your answer.
No. He interprets the evidence to argue=
that
these themes were correct, but they were correct about what leads to econom=
ic
growth, which is conceptually distinct from economic development. Development views income growth as a
means to an ends, not as an ends in itself.
6)Given the following matri=
x based
on the merchant guild example, answer the following questions.
|
|
RULER
|
|
Security
|
No security
|
|
TRADER
|
Bring Goods
|
½ &nbs=
p; &=
nbsp;
¼
|
-1 &nbs=
p;
1
|
|
Don’t Bring Goods
|
0 &nbs=
p; &=
nbsp;
- ¼
|
0 &nbs=
p;
0
|
a=
) Describe
the best response strategies in this game and identify the Nash equilibrium
outcome.
If trader plays bring, ruler’s best response =
is no
security.
If trader plays don’t bring, ruler’s be=
st
response is no security.
If ruler plays security, trader’s best respon=
se is
bring.
If ruler plays no security, trader’s best res=
ponse
is don’t bring.
Nash equilibrium outcome is that trader plays do not
bring, ruler plays no security, payoff is (0,0).=
b=
) Describe
how this model illustrates how a failure to coordinate actions leads to a
sub-optimal outcome.
If they could coordinate actions, there is an outco=
me
that improves on the Nash equilibrium. Both could be made better off with
Security and Bring providing a payoff of (1/2, ¼). Because they can not coordinate act=
ions,
each acting in self interest and rationally will not lead to this outcome.<=
o:p>
c=
) In
the context of the development of trade, describe how this model illustrates
the commitment problem.
If we add in a temporal=
aspect,
this illustrates the commitment problem.&n=
bsp;
A promise to provide security made by the ruler ex ante (before the
trader decides to bring goods or not) is not credible ex post (once the tra=
der
shows up in the city with the goods). A self-interested ruler will renege=
on a
prior commitment because once the trader decides to bring goods,
it is in the rulers self interest to not provide security.
7) Kuznets described 6 common characteristics of the growth proc=
ess
of modern developed nations. =
=
a. =
Identify
three of these.
1=
) High
rates of growth of per capita output and population
2=
) High
rates of increase in total factor productivity.
3=
) High
rates of structural transformation of the economy.
4=
) High
rates of social and ideological transformation.
5=
) The
propensity to reach out to the rest of the world for markets and raw materi=
als.
6=
) The
limited spread of growth around the world / growth was not contagious.
=
b. In
the book and in class, we discussed 8 reasons why this historical record ma=
y be
of limited value to the prospects of growth for developing countries
today. Identify four of these=
.
1=
) Physical
and human resource endowments.
2=
) Per
capita income and GNP levels.
3=
) Climate.
4=
) Population
size and growth rate.
5=
) Prospects
for international migration.
6=
) Prospects
for and Position of country in international trade system.
7=
) Science
and technology research and development.
8=
) Stability
of political and social institutions.
=
c. =
Are
the eight reasons given for the limited value of the historical record note=
d in
(b) the underlying conceptual basis for the distinction between underdevelo=
ped
and undeveloped nations in the dependence model?
No. T=
he eight
reasons are proposed as a set of “differing initial conditions”
rather than conditions that reflect the outcome of a process. The underlying conceptual distincti=
on between
underdeveloped nations and undeveloped nations is that countries currently
trying to go through the development process are not comparable to currently
developed countries before they went through the process of development bec=
ause
developed countries impacted underdeveloped ones when they went through the
development process. That is =
to say
that the non-developed countries today are in their current state because other countries developed,=
and this
has left the underdeveloped nations structurally transformed and in a posit=
ion of
limited autonomy in the world economy.
Note that you could answer yes here if you picked s=
ome of
the ones on the list of eight and described how the status of that reason
reflects the outcome of the process of underdevelopment. So not climate for example, but you=
could
say for something like instability of political and social institutions is =
due
to colonial history and the manipulation of comprador groups by forces in t=
he
developed world…something like that.=
But you need to push a little to say that those eight are not just
describing “differing initial conditions” but reflect “di=
ffering
initial conditions as an outcome of the development of a core-periphery type
world economy.”
7)Matc=
h
the model / theory to the assumption.
|
Model
|
|
Write the number of the model
|
Assumption
|
|
1) Lewis Model
|
8
|
Strong complementarity a=
nd
specialization in division of labor
|
|
2) Romer Model
|
3
|
Labor is allocated equally across N sectors in the
economy.
|
|
3) Big-Push Model
|
2
|
Increasing returns to scale are due to capital stock
spillovers
|
|
4) Solow Model
|
4
|
Technological progress occurs at a constant, exogeno=
usly
determined rate.
|
|
5) Stages of Growth Theory
|
6
|
The capital output ratio is a fixed constant.
|
|
6) Harrod Domar
|
7
|
Given temporary protection, cost curves will fall ov=
er time
as firms learn by doing.
|
|
7) Inf=
ant
Industry
|
1
|
Surplus labor exists in the agricultural sector that=
can
be absorbed into the manufacturing sector.
|
|
8) O-R=
ing
Model
|
5
|
During the takeoff stage, net investment increases t=
o over
10%.
|
8)Illu=
strate
on a supply and demand graph the following:
=
a. =
The
impact of an overvalued domestic currency in terms of the supply and demand=
for
foreign exchange. (Price is in
units of domestic currency to get one unit of the foreign currency, quantit=
y is
the quantity of foreign currency)
S and D with a price ceiling th=
at is
binding leading to excess demand. See 13.2 on p. 572.=
=
b. The
impact of a tariff on an imported manufactured good undertaken as part o=
f an
import substitution industrialization strategy.
S and D graph with one upward sloping domestic supp=
ly curve, and one flat world supply curve. A tariff is imposed on this second =
supply
curve, leading to a third supply curve – world supply at a price
including the tariff. See 13.=
1 on
p. 563.
9=
) Balance
of Payments.
=
a. =
Did
developing countries during the 1960’s tend to have positive or negat=
ive
current account balances?
Negative current account balances.
=
b. Identify
two impacts on developing countries of the tight monetary policy adopted by=
the
United States
in the early 1980s in regards to the origin of the debt crisis.
1=
) Commercial
loans made at flexible interest rates became more costly to pay back due to
increased interest charges reflecting higher interest rates resulting from
tight monetary policy.
2=
) High
interest rates (and the prospect of an effective policy response to inflati=
on
in the US and not in o=
ther countries)
led to capital flight from developing countries to the US and =
other
developed countries.
=
c. =
Is
the trade balance another name for the current account balance? Why or why not?
No, it is a component o=
f the
current account balance that looks at the value of imported goods compared =
to
the value of exported goods. =
The
book contrasts the “merchandise trade balance” with the current
account, and that is the meaning here.
Since I did not include=
the
word “merchandise” in the question (due to oversight and haste)=
you
could answer yes, sometimes as commonly used it is another name. You would need to argue that the
broadest measure of what is sometimes reported as the trade balance is the
current account balance. Howe=
ver
you should also note that less broad definitions that do not contain all th=
at
is included in the current account balance are also sometimes reported as t=
he
trade balance.
10) Define:
a. The Human Development I=
ndex.
HDI=3D
1/3*(income index)+
1/3*(life expectancy ind=
ex)+
1/3*(2/3*(adult literacy=
index)+1/3*(gross enrollment index))
That is enough, but you could add in information ab=
out
the respective indices.
Baseline:=
Inco=
me of 100
per person per year.
Life expectancy of 25 ye=
ars
No education<=
/u>
Targets:<=
/p>
Inco=
me of
40,000 per person per year.
Life expectancy of 85 ye=
ars
100%=
adult
literacy and gross enrollment.
Index constructed as a
normalized measure of a country’s ranking on this interval.
You could also make a case for answering the questi=
on by
defining HDI as a measure developed by the UNDP in their human development
reports to provide a measure on human development that includes income, education ,
and health as components. That would be correct as well.
=
c. =
The
World Bank standards to define a country as a developing country (categories
are enough – you don’t need to note the cutoffs in dollar terms=
).
Low income
Lower Middle income
Upper Middle income
=
d. An
“inward looking” trade policy.
Tra=
de policy
that restricts international trade. Speci=
fically,
policy that limits imports into the country. One example is an import substituti=
on
industrialization strategy, another is the (some=
what
related) infant industry strategy.
=
e. =
The
commodity terms of trade.
Pri=
ce index
of exported goods / price index of imported goods. Picked with an arbitrarily chose
baseline year set to 100 for each of the price indices.
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